There is a version of the housing market story that gets told over and over, and it goes like this: prices are high, rates are high, nothing is affordable, and the only people buying are the ones with cash. That version is not wrong, exactly. It is just incomplete.
The arithmetic here is brutal and worth understanding clearly. A buyer who financed a $400,000 home at three percent in 2021 pays roughly $1,686 per month on principal and interest. That same loan at a seven percent rate costs $2,661. The difference between those two payments explains why so many potential sellers are sitting tight. Volume collapsed. Prices mostly did not.
Here is what that creates for someone who is financially prepared and ready to move: less competition than you would have faced in 2021 or 2022. The panic buyers are gone. The buyers who showed up with letters waiving inspections and offering a hundred thousand over asking have mostly sat back down. What remains is a more functional market, even if it is not a cheap one.
Before you look at a single listing, get your mortgage pre-approval completed and in hand. Not a rough estimate. Not a verbal confirmation from a loan officer you met once. A full pre-approval based on verified income, tax returns, bank statements, and a hard credit pull. Any agent worth working with will tell you the same thing: no pre-approval, no offer.
The appraisal is the lender’s check, not yours. When the appraisal comes in below contract, the deal does not automatically die, but it does require a decision. Ask your agent how common appraisal gaps have been in your target price range and neighborhood.
Budget enough to cover origination fees, title, escrow, prepaid taxes, and insurance without being caught short at the table. First-time buyers routinely underestimate this number. Ask your lender for a Loan Estimate with a realistic purchase price so the numbers reflect what you are actually going to face.
Real estate is illiquid. Buying and selling inside two years is almost always a money-losing proposition once you account for the full cost of both transactions. None of that means do not buy. It means be honest about your time horizon before you commit.
Buyers who take the time to do their homework tend to find that there are still good properties available at realistic prices. Spending twenty minutes with current homes for sale and market analytics is a better use of your time than waiting for conditions that may never arrive.
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